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Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

How the sports market is pricing "Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan 100% Completed Match 100% Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 Winner 100% Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $208K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan100%
Completed Match100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 Winner100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 Winner100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 21.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 22.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Duncan Chan in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Da…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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