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Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

How the sports market is pricing "Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 2 Winner 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $208K Liquidity: $111K Closes: 14 Sept 2026
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Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 2 Winner100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 21.591%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 22.591%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan68%
Completed Match50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Match O/U 23.550%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Game Spread +/-3.550%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 Winner0%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

The Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Dominik Palan in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriy…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Dominik Palan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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