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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang

How the sports market is pricing "US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang 94% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner 85% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner 85% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 76% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $88K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang94%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner85%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner85%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.576%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Game Spread +/-6.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.537%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.535%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.531%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.522%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 23.521%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 94% probability to us open wta: iga swiatek vs xiyu wang. This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Xiyu Wang in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga S…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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