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Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?

"Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

82-83°F 100% 73°F or below 0% 74-75°F 0% 76-77°F 0% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $186K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
82-83°F100%
73°F or below0%
74-75°F0%
76-77°F0%
78-79°F0%
80-81°F0%
84-85°F0%
86-87°F0%
88-89°F0%
90-91°F0%
92°F or higher0%

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport on 13 July 2026 will determine which temperature range wins this market. The settlement window closes at midday on that date, with resolution sourced from Weather Underground's historical records for the airport's official weather station.

Atlanta's July climate is consistently hot and humid, with average highs around 32°C (90°F) and extremes regularly exceeding 35°C (95°F). Historical data from the airport station shows that temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s Fahrenheit are typical for mid-July, though heat domes occasionally push readings above 100°F. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect the market's lowest temperature bracket to resolve, though this reflects the current crowd's confidence rather than meteorological certainty. Comparable July days at the airport have produced highs ranging from 88°F to 98°F depending on atmospheric conditions and whether tropical moisture or continental heat dominates.

Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts and long-range models as July 2026 approaches, particularly any alerts regarding heat advisories or unusual atmospheric patterns in the southeastern United States. Tropical activity in the Atlantic basin during early July could influence moisture levels and cloud cover over Atlanta, potentially moderating peak temperatures. The settlement window's midday closure means the final recorded high must occur before 12:00 UTC on 13 July, so afternoon thunderstorms—common in Atlanta summers—could affect whether the day reaches its typical peak temperature.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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