Highest temperature in Beijing on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Beijing’s airport temperature for 10 August is normally a warm-summer reading rather than an extreme one, with August averages clustering around 31°C for daytime highs and about 21–22°C overnight. Comparable historical tables show that 10 August often lands in the low 30s °C, while Beijing’s long-run August ceiling is only a few degrees above that, so the market’s 0% YES price is effectively saying the current setup is for a routine summer outcome rather than a record-style spike.[7][16][19]

For traders, the key catalyst is whether the forecast tracks the familiar Beijing pattern of hot afternoons with intermittent cloud or rain, because that is what usually determines whether the airport station prints closer to the low 30s °C or cools off earlier. Time and Date’s extended forecast for Beijing on 10 August shows sunny, dry conditions with a high near 91°F, while Weather Underground’s history page for Beijing has a record high of 95°F and a typical high of 88°F, which suggests the settlement range is more likely to be shaped by the afternoon peak than by the morning reading.[13][14] The practical watchlist is any late forecast revision on cloud cover, rain chances, or wind, since those are the factors most likely to move the day’s maximum by a degree or two.

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Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Beijing on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.