Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 20?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 20 August 2026, Chongqing will record its highest temperature of the day at Jiangbei International Airport Station, measured in degrees Celsius. The market resolves based on the Daily Observations table from Weather Underground rather than summary figures, establishing a precise methodological baseline for settlement.

Chongqing's August temperatures historically cluster in the 32–38°C range, with extreme heat events occasionally pushing toward 40°C. The city sits in the Sichuan Basin, where geographical features trap warm air masses and limit wind circulation during summer months. Historical data from the past decade shows that mid-to-late August typically records highs between 33–36°C, though the 2013 heat wave saw temperatures exceed 40°C on multiple days. Current crowd probability at 0% suggests traders expect the highest temperature to fall below the lowest threshold offered, indicating confidence in relatively moderate conditions for that specific date.

Traders should monitor seasonal weather patterns emerging through July and early August 2026, particularly any forecasts indicating heat dome formation or anomalous pressure systems over central China. The East Asian summer monsoon's strength and timing will influence moisture availability and cloud cover during late August. Any significant deviation from typical atmospheric circulation patterns—such as a ridge of high pressure stalling over the region—could shift temperature expectations materially. Weather Underground's historical data quality and station maintenance at Jiangbei remain critical to accurate resolution, as equipment calibration issues or data recording anomalies could affect the Daily Observations table used for settlement.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 20?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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Can I bet on individual matches?

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What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

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How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.