Highest temperature in Dallas on July 12?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas is expected to hit highs near 99°F on 12 July under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow, yet the market currently assigns 0% probability to any outcome above the 94–97°F bands[1]. Historical climatology for Dallas Love Field shows a normal July maximum of 96.9°F, with recent forecasts for July 2026 projecting daily highs between 96°F and 102°F[2][6]. The current frontrunner is the 94–95°F range at 39%, followed by 92–93°F at 28%, suggesting traders are pricing in a slightly cooler-than-average day despite the 99°F forecast[1].

Traders should monitor real-time updates from Wunderground, the official resolution source, for the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) on 12 July[1][10]. Key dependencies include the persistence of high-pressure systems and southerly wind flow, which typically drive temperatures upward, as well as any unexpected cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress the peak[1]. While North Texas has already recorded its first 100°F day of 2026, the official record for DFW remains 113°F from 1980, meaning extreme outliers are possible but statistically rare[7]. Watch for hourly temperature logs on 12 July, as the market resolves strictly to the single highest reading for that day.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on July 12?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.