Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas Love Field Station will record its highest temperature on 13 July 2026, with settlement determined by historical weather data from Wunderground. The market currently shows 0% probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting traders have not yet engaged with this specific date forecast.

Dallas's July climate is characterised by consistent heat. Historical records from Love Field show that mid-July highs typically range between 93–97°F, with occasional peaks above 100°F during heat waves. The 30-year average high for 13 July sits around 95°F. Extreme outliers—temperatures exceeding 102°F—occur roughly once every five to ten years during the summer season. The 2023 summer saw multiple days above 100°F in Dallas, whilst 2024 experienced more moderate peaks in the 96–99°F range during comparable periods.

Traders should monitor long-range weather forecasting models as July 2026 approaches, particularly those issued 10–14 days prior to the settlement date. Upper-level atmospheric patterns, including ridge positioning and moisture availability, will determine whether conditions favour typical seasonal heat or anomalous extremes. The National Weather Service's extended outlooks, typically released weekly, provide the most actionable guidance for temperature probability shifts. Any significant La Niña or El Niño development in the months preceding July could influence broader temperature patterns across Texas, though such signals remain uncertain at this distance.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.