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Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?

"Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

96-97°F 100% 92-93°F 0% 102-103°F 0% 104-105°F 0% Volume: $156K Liquidity: $139K Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
96-97°F100%
92-93°F0%
102-103°F0%
104-105°F0%
91°F or below0%
94-95°F0%
98-99°F0%
100-101°F0%
106-107°F0%
108-109°F0%
110°F or higher0%

Market context

Dallas on 28 June 2026 is forecast to reach a high of 97°F under sunny skies, a figure consistent with recent June patterns at Love Field where daily highs typically range between 96°F and 100°F[1][4]. Historical data for this specific date shows an all-time peak of 110°F recorded in 1980, yet the current 0% probability for higher ranges suggests traders view that extreme as an outlier rather than a baseline expectation[2]. Recent years have seen variable highs fluctuating between 75°F and 89°F, with 2026 already marking nine 100°F days in DFW, indicating a warm but not record-breaking summer trend[1][8].

Traders should monitor the official Wunderground resolution source for the final confirmed reading, as the settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 28 June 2026[1]. While the forecast remains stable, any sudden shifts in cloud cover or precipitation chances—currently noted at 20% for several days—could alter the peak temperature[1]. The National Weather Service recorded 93°F at 3 PM on 28 June, providing a real-time benchmark that aligns with the 97°F forecast[6]. No major coaching changes or key absences apply here, but the dependency on the specific station data at KDAL is critical for accurate resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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