Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 17 August 2026, the Hong Kong Observatory will record the highest temperature reached in Hong Kong that day, measured in degrees Celsius to one decimal place. This market resolves based on the official "Absolute Daily Max" figure published in the Observatory's Daily Extract once the data is finalised and made publicly available.

Hong Kong's August temperatures are remarkably consistent year on year, with historical daily maxima typically ranging between 31°C and 34°C during mid-August. The 30-year climate normal for 17 August sits around 32.5°C. Extreme outliers—temperatures above 35°C or below 30°C on this date—occur infrequently; the Observatory's records show such deviations happen in fewer than one in ten years. The current 0% probability assigned to this market likely reflects uncertainty about which specific temperature band will be selected as the resolution range, rather than doubt about whether a temperature will be recorded.

Traders should monitor the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal forecasts and any published guidance on expected August 2026 conditions as the date approaches. Broader atmospheric patterns—including the strength of the Pacific typhoon season and monsoon activity in the region—influence late-summer temperatures in Hong Kong. The Observatory publishes monthly climate outlooks that may offer early signals about whether August 2026 is tracking toward above-normal or below-normal heat. Resolution depends entirely on the Observatory publishing its Daily Extract data; any delays in data release would postpone settlement.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.