Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 16?

Platform comparison

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on 16 August 2026 will determine which temperature band resolves as YES. The market uses the Daily Observations table from Weather Underground as its primary source, distinguishing it from summary high-low figures that may occasionally diverge from granular station readings.

Kuala Lumpur's equatorial climate produces consistent daily maxima throughout August, with historical records showing temperatures typically between 32–34°C at the airport station. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting specific temperature thresholds to be defined or reflecting uncertainty about which range brackets the eventual reading. August represents the height of the southwest monsoon season, though this typically influences rainfall patterns more than absolute temperature peaks, which remain relatively stable across the month.

The settlement window closes at midday on 16 August 2026, meaning the highest temperature must be recorded and verified through Weather Underground's Daily Observations table before resolution. Traders should monitor whether the market clarifies which specific temperature ranges are available for resolution, as the current framing indicates multiple bands exist but their boundaries remain unstated in the provided description. Any disruption to the airport's weather station operations or data transmission could delay verification, though such occurrences are rare at major international facilities.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 16?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.