Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

The market seeks to identify the highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on 11 August 2026, with resolution determined by Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than summary figures. The settlement window closes at midday UTC on that date, meaning readings taken after noon will not factor into the resolution.

New York City's August temperatures typically range between 75°F and 88°F, with historical highs occasionally exceeding 90°F during heat waves. The city experienced a peak of 99°F on 9 July 2019 and 96°F on 22 August 2011, establishing precedent for extreme summer conditions. LaGuardia's coastal location in Queens moderates temperatures relative to inland areas, though urban heat island effects can elevate readings above surrounding regions. August 11th falls within the climatological peak of summer heat, when atmospheric conditions favour sustained high temperatures across the northeastern United States.

Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts issued in the days preceding 11 August 2026, particularly advisories regarding heat domes or high-pressure systems that could drive temperatures into the 90s. Tropical systems tracking northward from the Atlantic can either suppress temperatures through cloud cover or intensify heat through moisture and pressure dynamics. Historical weather patterns suggest that early-to-mid August typically experiences less extreme conditions than late July, though this varies considerably year to year depending on jet stream positioning and Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.