Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

Wuhan will experience peak summer heat on 11 August 2026, with the highest temperature recorded at Tianhe International Airport Station determining the resolution bracket. August represents the tail end of Wuhan's hottest season, when the city's subtropical climate typically produces daily maxima in the 32–36°C range, though extreme heat waves can push readings several degrees higher.

Historical data from the past decade shows Wuhan's August temperatures cluster predictably around 33–35°C on average days, with readings exceeding 37°C occurring in roughly one-third of August dates during particularly intense heat episodes. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an expectation of moderate rather than extreme heat for this specific date. Comparable August conditions from 2015–2023 indicate that whilst temperatures above 38°C are possible, they remain less frequent than readings in the 34–37°C band.

Traders should monitor China Meteorological Administration forecasts released in early August 2026, which typically provide reliable 10-day outlooks for regional temperature patterns. The timing of any high-pressure systems moving into central China during early-to-mid August will be critical; such systems historically correlate with the most intense heat days. Urban heat island effects at the airport station itself may also influence final readings relative to surrounding rural areas. The resolution will depend exclusively on Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than summary figures, making source verification essential before settlement.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.