Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 17 August 2026, Chengdu will record its highest temperature of the day at Shuangliu International Airport Station, measured in degrees Celsius. The market resolves based on the Daily Observations table from Weather Underground rather than summary figures, establishing a precise methodological baseline for settlement.

Chengdu's August climate presents consistent patterns worth examining. Historical data shows mid-August temperatures in the city regularly peak between 32–36°C, with occasional excursions toward 37–38°C during heat waves. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect the highest temperature to fall outside the uppermost range bracket offered. Comparable August periods from prior years indicate that whilst extreme heat is possible, it remains less frequent than moderate-to-warm conditions. The specific resolution methodology—prioritising granular Daily Observations over headline figures—may introduce variance from casual weather forecasts, as station-level readings sometimes diverge from widely reported summaries.

Traders should monitor China Meteorological Administration forecasts released in the week preceding 17 August, which typically provide 7–10 day outlooks with reasonable accuracy for regional temperature bands. Atmospheric pressure systems moving across central China in mid-August will determine whether monsoon moisture suppresses peak temperatures or whether high-pressure ridges drive them upward. Any significant weather pattern shifts announced by major meteorological services in early August could shift market probabilities materially, particularly if models indicate sustained heat dome conditions across the Sichuan Basin.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 17?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.