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Bitcoin price on August 9?

How the sports market is pricing "Bitcoin price on August 9?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

64,000-66,000 88% 62,000-64,000 7% 66,000-68,000 7% <54,000 0% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $146K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Bitcoin price on August 9?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
64,000-66,00088%
62,000-64,0007%
66,000-68,0007%
<54,0000%
54,000-56,0000%
56,000-58,0000%
58,000-60,0000%
60,000-62,0000%
68,000-70,0000%
70,000-72,0000%
>72,0000%

Market context

Bitcoin is trading in a relatively tight band, with recent closes clustered in the mid-$60,000s rather than showing a decisive trend. OpenBitcoin shows Bitcoin finished 7 August 2026 at $64,878, while YCharts put the 6 August level at $64,608.71 and CoinDesk had spot around $64,846 on 7 August, which is consistent with a market that has been drifting rather than breaking away.[1][2][11]

That matters for a noon ET Binance 1-minute close on 9 August because this market only needs one specific minute print, not the day’s broader range. On comparable recent days, the price has often finished within a few hundred dollars of the prior session, so a settlement near the current spot zone would not be unusual.[1][2][17] The crowd’s 0% YES implies this market is pricing an extremely low chance of any outcome currently available on the board, but the underlying BTC tape does not support reading that as a certainty; it mainly reflects how narrow and date-specific the resolution rule is.

Traders should watch for weekend headline risk, because the settlement sits on a Sunday and Binance’s noon ET candle can be moved by overnight crypto flows rather than regular US-hours news. The main dependencies are any ETF-flow headlines, large macro shocks, or abrupt moves in the broader crypto complex; those are the kinds of catalysts that can shift BTC quickly even without a fundamental change in adoption or regulation.[17][19] Marketwatch and other live price feeds show Bitcoin is still sensitive to intraday swings, so the relevant question is whether it is holding the current $64,000–$65,000 area into the settlement window.[10][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Bitcoin price on August 9?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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