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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Sports snapshot for "LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) 55% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 55% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $486K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?44%
First Blood in Game 1?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Game 1 Winner27%
Game 2 Winner27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Match Winner18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%

Market context

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend — current market-implied probability: 69%. This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gami…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: LGD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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