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Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 49% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5) 48% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $274K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)42%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)42%
Map 2 Winner40%
Map 1 Winner34%
Match Winner34%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: eyeballers vs team nemesis (bo3) - xse pro league group stage stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between EYEBALLERS and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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