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Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group Stage

"Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5) 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $1.9M Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

BoomBoys and TEAM VISION will contest a best-of-three Dota 2 fixture during The International's group stage on 14 August 2026, with the match scheduled for 01:00 ET. The encounter represents a critical early-stage test for both squads as they navigate qualification pathways in one of esports' most prestigious annual tournaments.

Historical precedent suggests caution when interpreting the current zero probability assigned to BoomBoys. Group-stage matches at The International frequently feature roster volatility and last-minute adjustments that reshape competitive dynamics. In 2023 and 2024, several presumed favourites stumbled during preliminary rounds due to unannounced stand-in arrangements or coaching staff changes implemented days before competition commenced. The settlement window's extension to 7 days from the original start time accounts for potential postponements, a recurring factor at The International given venue logistics and broadcast scheduling conflicts across multiple regions.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements regarding roster confirmations and any coaching adjustments through early August. Recent reporting from esports desk coverage has highlighted mid-season personnel shifts affecting both organisations' preparation cycles. The timing of the match—01:00 ET—may also influence performance variance, particularly if either squad faces fatigue from preceding fixtures or time-zone adaptation challenges. Confirmation of final lineups and any last-minute substitutions typically emerges 48 to 72 hours before group-stage matches commence, providing a critical data point for reassessing initial probability assessments.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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