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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $675K Liquidity: $531K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner88%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)71%
Game 2 Winner70%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?60%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?10%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: team yandex vs team liquid (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Yandex and Team Liquid in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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