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LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

"LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Volume: $3.7M Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 20 Sept 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 3?95%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?84%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?78%
First Blood in Game 2?75%
Odd/Even Total Kills74%
Odd/Even Total Kills74%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Game 4 Winner51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor42%
Odd/Even Total Kills42%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 3?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 3?26%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?23%
First Blood in Game 1?20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?1%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esp…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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