Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 87% |
| Spread -7.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| Spread -10.5 | 82% |
| Spread -11.5 | 80% |
| Spread -13.5 | 78% |
| O/U 45.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Spread -14.5 | 74% |
| Spread -8.5 | 73% |
| Spread -16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| O/U 49.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| Spread -17.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| Spread -15.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 62% |
| Spread -20.5 | 60% |
| O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -21.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -22.5 | 53% |
| O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -18.5 | 52% |
| Spread -23.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Spread -24.5 | 49% |
| Spread -25.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Spread -26.5 | 46% |
| Spread -27.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Spread -29.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Florida State O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| Spread -28.5 | 34% |
| Spread -30.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Florida State O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Spread -32.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 26% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| Spread -35.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 18% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -38.5 | 17% |
| O/U 71.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| Florida State vs. Miami (FL) | 7% |
Market context
Florida State vs. Miami (FL) — current market-implied probability: 95%. In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $252K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Florida State vs. Miami (FL). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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