Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 97% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 96% |
| Spread -6.5 | 96% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Ole Miss O/U 23.5 | 91% |
| Spread -8.5 | 90% |
| Spread -10.5 | 90% |
| Spread -13.5 | 82% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| Spread -16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| Spread -17.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Ole Miss O/U 29.5 | 61% |
| O/U 37.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Ole Miss O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| O/U 41.5 | 31% |
| Ole Miss O/U 32.5 | 30% |
| O/U 43.5 | 23% |
| O/U 45.5 | 22% |
| Ole Miss O/U 35.5 | 19% |
| O/U 47.5 | 14% |
| O/U 49.5 | 11% |
| O/U 51.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Missouri O/U 20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| O/U 55.5 | 3% |
| O/U 75.5 | 3% |
| Missouri vs. Ole Miss | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| O/U 53.5 | 2% |
| O/U 57.5 | 2% |
| O/U 63.5 | 2% |
| O/U 73.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| O/U 59.5 | 1% |
| O/U 61.5 | 1% |
| O/U 65.5 | 1% |
| O/U 67.5 | 1% |
| O/U 69.5 | 1% |
| O/U 71.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of missouri vs. ole miss. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Ole Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $206K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Missouri vs. Ole Miss. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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