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Penn State vs. Michigan

How the sports market is pricing "Penn State vs. Michigan" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1H Moneyline 100% 1Q Moneyline 100% Volume: $292K Liquidity: $580K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Penn State vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Spread -0.592%
Spread -1.590%
Spread -2.584%
Spread -3.579%
4Q O/U 7.578%
Spread -4.576%
3Q O/U 7.572%
3Q O/U 10.571%
Spread -5.565%
Spread -6.564%
Spread -7.559%
3Q O/U 13.556%
3Q Spread -2.556%
Spread -8.554%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.553%
3Q Spread -0.553%
3Q Spread -1.553%
3Q Spread -3.553%
3Q Spread -5.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q451%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
Penn State O/U 26.550%
Penn State O/U 29.550%
Penn State O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 26.550%
Michigan O/U 29.550%
Michigan O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 35.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Penn State O/U 2.550%
Michigan O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -1.548%
3Q Moneyline48%
3Q O/U 16.547%
3Q O/U 19.547%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q345%
Spread -10.544%
4Q Spread -1.536%
O/U 37.532%
4Q Spread -2.530%
Spread -13.528%
Spread -14.523%
4Q O/U 19.522%
4Q Spread -3.522%
4Q O/U 16.521%
4Q O/U 13.520%
Spread -16.517%
Michigan O/U 23.517%
Spread -17.516%
Penn State vs. Michigan10%
Spread -1.58%
O/U 39.58%
Spread -2.57%
Spread -20.56%
Penn State O/U 20.56%
Spread -3.55%
O/U 41.55%
O/U 43.55%
Penn State O/U 23.55%
Spread -8.54%
Spread -4.54%
Spread -6.53%
Spread -5.53%
O/U 45.53%
O/U 47.53%
O/U 49.53%
Spread -7.52%
O/U 53.52%
O/U 55.52%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -10.51%
O/U 51.51%
O/U 57.51%
O/U 63.51%
O/U 65.51%
O/U 67.51%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 11.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 13.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

The Penn State vs. Michigan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Penn State vs. Michigan".

1Q Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $292K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Penn State vs. Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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