Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| Texas Tech O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 86% |
| O/U 43.5 | 85% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 78% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 45.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| O/U 47.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| 1H Moneyline | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 66% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| Spread -7.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| Spread -8.5 | 58% |
| O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 11.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Cincinnati O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| Spread -0.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 19% |
| O/U 71.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 73.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 93% chance of texas tech vs. cincinnati. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Texas Tech and Cincinnati, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Tech" if Texas Tech win the game.…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $83K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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