Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon | 90% |
| Spread -1.5 | 84% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Spread -4.5 | 72% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| UCLA O/U 17.5 | 53% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 78.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UCLA vs. Oregon: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UCLA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| UCLA O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| UCLA O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 40.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 5% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| O/U 52.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| O/U 46.5 | 2% |
| O/U 60.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -11.5 | 1% |
| Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| O/U 62.5 | 1% |
| O/U 64.5 | 1% |
| O/U 70.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| UCLA 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The UCLA vs. Oregon prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Oregon, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if O…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for UCLA vs. Oregon. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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