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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 2 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Any Player Ultra Kill 90% Any Player Rampage 90% Volume: $965K Liquidity: $151K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Any Player Rampage90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

PARIVISION faces Team Spirit in a best-of-two Dota 2 series at the Esports World Cup in Riyadh, scheduled for 12 July 2026. The 0% crowd-implied probability for additional markets reflects Team Spirit’s dominant recent form, having defeated PARIVISION 1–0 in a Group Stage BO1 at BLAST SLAM VII just weeks prior on 29 May 2026[1]. This head-to-head result establishes a clear historical precedent where Spirit’s superior map control and late-game execution neutralised PARIVISION’s aggressive early tempo, making further market volatility unlikely unless the series format exposes a specific weakness in Spirit’s draft flexibility.

Traders should monitor official team announcements regarding roster availability, as Spirit’s recent drop to the Lower Bracket at BLAST Open Rotterdam suggests potential internal friction or coaching adjustments that could alter their standard playstyle[3]. The series timing at 09:00 UTC means any pre-match streamer leaks or coach interviews could reveal key absences or strategic pivots before the first map begins. Bookmakers currently estimate PARIVISION’s victory chance at 38% against Spirit’s 25%, indicating a narrow margin where a single map loss could trigger cascading market movements if the series extends beyond the initial BO1 expectation[8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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