Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 0% |
Market context
Dalian Yingbo FC meet Liaoning Tieren FC in Chinese Super League action at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, with the market already implying a near-certainty of a Dalian result. That 100% YES price is easier to read against the recent head-to-head: Dalian won the only league meeting available in the search set, 1-0 away on 22 April 2026, and the broader H2H pages also show Dalian ahead in the series.[6][10][16]
The cleaner frame for traders is form and league position rather than any one-off matchup quirk. SofaScore has Dalian 5th and Liaoning 8th, while Sky Sports’ form line shows Dalian coming in off a 1-1 draw at Henan and a 2-3 loss at Hangzhou, after a 3-1 home win over Shandong.[2][3] Liaoning’s most recent result in the search set is a 3-1 home win over Shanghai Shenhua, so the immediate catalyst is whether that result holds up as a genuine turn rather than a single spike in performance.[13]
For market timing, the main things to watch are late team news, confirmed line-ups and any rotation across a short fixture interval, because those can move a market far more than the historical record at this stage.[2][3] The current listings consistently show the same kick-off window and venue, and the available previews do not surface a verified injury bulletin or coaching update, so any fresh beat-report or club announcement on absences would be the most relevant late driver before settlement.[2][3][13]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $230K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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