Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London and Trent Rockets meet at the Kia Oval in a league match that has already produced a clear form line this season: Trent Rockets have been one of the competition’s strongest sides, while MI London have also been in the top half of the table. Trent Rockets arrived with five wins from six and a healthy net run rate, and they have recently shown they can defend or chase in different conditions; MI London have been competitive enough to remain in the hunt, but the market’s 0% YES price is out of step with a fixture that is still live and normally settled on the field.[5][9]
The recent head-to-head record gives MI London some support, because they beat Trent Rockets in both league play and the 2025 final, including a chase of 170 at the Oval and a 25-run win at Lord’s.[11] That history matters less than current availability and balance, though. Trent Rockets’ latest wins have been driven by top-order scoring and late-innings control, with Ben Duckett and Mitch Santner among the names repeatedly deciding matches, while MI London’s results have leaned on Sam Curran and Will Jacks at the top end.[1][3][9][11]
For traders, the key catalysts are team sheets, the toss, and any late bowling or batting changes after the warm-up, because The Hundred fixtures can swing quickly if one side loses a strike bowler or a power-hitter. The live coverage on the day confirmed Trent Rockets won the toss and chose to field, a small but meaningful edge at a ground where chasing has often been workable, and any weather interruption would only matter if it affected whether a result could be reached on the field.[4][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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