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Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

How the sports market is pricing "Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots 94% Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots 94% Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 91% Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots 82% Volume: $273K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots94%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots94%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots91%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots82%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots78%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots76%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots72%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots72%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target67%
João Félix: 1+ shots65%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shots on target65%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots61%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots57%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots55%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots54%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots on target50%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ shots on target50%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots on target50%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots on target50%
João Félix: 2+ shots on target50%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target50%
David Raya: 2+ saves50%
David Raya: 3+ saves50%
David Raya: 5+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 2+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 3+ saves50%
Diogo Costa: 5+ saves50%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals + assists50%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 1+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 2+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 3+ goals + assists50%
João Félix: 4+ goals + assists50%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists50%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots on target50%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots on target48%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots on target48%
João Félix: 1+ shots on target48%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target48%
David Raya: 4+ saves47%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target43%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals40%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists40%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals + assists39%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists38%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists38%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots35%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots35%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists35%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals34%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals34%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots34%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ shots34%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target34%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots33%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals + assists33%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots32%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists32%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ shots on target30%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists29%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists29%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots28%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shots on target28%
Diogo Costa: 4+ saves28%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ shots on target27%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists27%
Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shots25%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots25%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target25%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assists24%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists24%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots23%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target23%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assists23%
Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots22%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assists22%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals + assists22%
João Félix: 3+ shots21%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on target20%
João Félix: 2+ shots19%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists19%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals18%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals + assists18%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots17%
Gonçalo Ramos: 4+ shots17%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots17%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shots14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists14%
João Félix: 3+ shots on target14%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target14%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals13%
João Félix: 4+ shots13%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots13%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists13%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots on target13%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots on target13%
Gonçalo Ramos: 5+ shots12%
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assists12%
Ferrán Torres: 2+ assists12%
João Félix: 2+ assists12%
Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goals11%
Ferrán Torres: 5+ shots11%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals10%
Bruno Fernandes: 4+ shots10%
Ferrán Torres: 4+ shots10%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists10%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ shots on target10%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals9%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals9%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots9%
Nico Williams: 1+ assists9%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals8%
Nico Williams: 5+ shots8%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals7%
Nico Williams: 2+ assists7%
João Félix: 1+ goals6%
João Félix: 5+ shots6%
João Félix: 1+ assists6%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists6%
Gonçalo Ramos: 2+ goals5%
Bruno Fernandes: 5+ shots4%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assists4%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assists3%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals2%
Ferrán Torres: 3+ goals2%
Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goals2%
João Félix: 2+ goals2%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals2%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals2%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goals1%
João Félix: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of portugal vs. spain - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Portugal vs. Spain - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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