Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 85% |
| Draw | 11% |
| FC Anyang | 3% |
Market context
FC Anyang host Daejeon Hana Citizen in a K-League meeting that has been priced as a low-probability home upset, with the market implying only 3% for YES. The head-to-head record is not one-sided: across 36 meetings, Daejeon have 13 wins, Anyang 9, and 14 draws, while the most recent league meeting on 2 March 2026 finished 1-1, which is the sort of result that keeps very short-priced outcomes in play rather than turning them into pure novelty bets.[2][17]
The comparable form line is mixed rather than decisive. Daejeon’s recent results include a 2-0 win over Gwangju and a run of four unbeaten league matches in the mid-summer stretch, while Anyang have alternated between wins and defeats, including a 3-1 loss away to Ulsan on 2 August.[6][11][19] That pattern matters because the market’s 3% implies not just a win, but a result that is materially better than the broad run of recent performances and the historical draw frequency between the sides.[17][20]
For traders, the main catalysts are late team-sheet information, especially any confirmed absences in defence or attack, because both clubs have shown a tendency to be involved in scorelines decided by fine margins.[3][9][19] The most useful trigger will be the official line-ups and any pre-match local reporting on fitness, rotation, or suspension news shortly before kick-off; if either side loses a first-choice scorer or centre-back, the probability distribution moves more than the broader season form would suggest.[1][5][19]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade FC Anyang vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC on March Madness Predictions
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