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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 74% First Blood in Game 1? 73% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 67% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $510K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?74%
First Blood in Game 1?73%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?67%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Game 1 Winner51%
Game 2 Winner51%
Match Winner51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)27%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill8%

Market context

Market consensus: 74% chance of lol: nongshim red force vs hanjin brion (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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