Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Mjallby AIF (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg (-1.5) | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF (-2.5) | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Mjallby AIF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Elfsborg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Mjällby AIF host IF Elfsborg in an Allsvenskan match at Strandvallen, and the current 0% yes price on the “more markets” angle is best read as a statement that traders have not yet assigned any probability to a specific side bet rather than as evidence the game will be one-sided. The recent meeting between the clubs finished 1-1 in Borås, while broader head-to-head records still lean slightly towards Elfsborg over time, so the matchup has enough balance to keep secondary markets sensitive to late team news and line-up details.[2][4][10][17]
For historical framing, comparable market reads from this fixture have tended to sit near the middle rather than break sharply one way, with recent prediction snapshots splitting closely and noting modest form differences rather than a clear edge.[3][11][19] Mjällby’s recent results have been mixed, Elfsborg have also been uneven, and the most useful comparison is with the last head-to-head and the teams’ current points-per-game and goal-difference profiles rather than the raw league table.[3][11][19]
The main catalysts are the team sheets, any late injury or suspension updates, and whether either side rotates after a short turnaround, because those factors can move totals, cards, corners, and both-teams-to-score style markets more than the match winner itself.[3][5][7][10] Sofascore, Flashscore, and FotMob were all carrying live match pages and line-up feeds for this fixture, which usually means the market can react quickly once confirmed starters or bench absences appear close to kick-off.[1][5][10]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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