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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

"PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Team to Advance 100% PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) 0% Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5) 0% PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) 0% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $909K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team to Advance100%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

PFK CSKA Sofia host Qarabağ Ağdam FK in the UEFA Europa League qualifying tie, with the first leg having finished 0-0 in Baku last week.[8][12] That stalemate fits a broader pattern of tight meetings: the sides also produced a one-goal margin in their 2021 and 2023 European encounters, both won 1-0 by Qarabağ, so the market’s 0% YES on “More markets” is being framed against a history of low-margin, low-volatility results rather than a free-scoring matchup.[4][6]

Recent form gives traders two different signals. Qarabağ arrived off a 3-0 win over Vestri in the previous qualifying round, while CSKA Sofia had advanced past Derry City with narrow wins and then held Qarabağ scoreless away from home, which points to defensive resilience on both sides.[4][16] For a beat-report style read, BBC’s live stats summary also showed Qarabağ with 6 goals in the run-up and CSKA with 5, while both clubs had mixed recent results in friendlies and domestic matches, reinforcing that one breakthrough goal can matter more than broad attacking volume.[4]

The main catalysts are team news and any late changes to selection after the first-leg goalless draw. UEFA and live match listings confirm the second leg is scheduled for Sofia at 20:00 local time, so watch for confirmed line-ups, injury updates, and whether either coach opts for a more aggressive shape after a first leg that produced few clear chances.[2][5][9] If Qarabağ lean on the same compact approach that worked in Baku, or CSKA are missing a creator or senior defender, the price can move quickly even without a major form shock.[4][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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