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UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 80% Decision or Draw 80% Volume: $566K Liquidity: $37K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?80%
Decision or Draw80%
Fight won by decision?74%
O/U 2.5 Rounds51%
Koslow in Round 325%
Fight won by submission?19%
Fight won by KO/TKO?8%
Koslow to win by KO/TKO?4%
Anheliger in Round 34%
Anheliger to win by KO/TKO?3%
Ends before Round 3?3%
Anheliger in Round 13%
Anheliger in Round 23%
Koslow in Round 23%
Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow1%
Ends before Round 2?1%
Koslow in Round 11%

Market context

UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims). The market is currently pricing the outcome at 8% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $566K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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