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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

"Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets 52% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 49% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $891K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets52%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
NRFI48%
O/U 8.545%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.519%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to boston red sox vs. new york mets. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This marke…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $143K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets on March Madness Predictions

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