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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Sports snapshot for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 57% O/U 8.5 55% New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves 54% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 52% Volume: $909K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.557%
O/U 8.555%
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves54%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 7.550%
O/U 9.546%
Spread -1.532%
NRFI0%
Spread -1.50%

Market context

The New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves prediction market currently prices this outcome at 57% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 6 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market w…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 57% for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 57% Other 43%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $909K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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