Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 29.5 | 93% |
| O/U 31.5 | 90% |
| O/U 33.5 | 87% |
| O/U 35.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 69% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| O/U 43.5 | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| O/U 45.5 | 57% |
| O/U 46.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rams Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 42% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 41% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 39% |
| Rams Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 36% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 33% |
| O/U 53.5 | 32% |
| 2H Moneyline | 29% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| Giants vs. Rams | 27% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 1-6 | 21% |
| O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 14-20 | 19% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| Giants vs. Rams: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 18% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 7-13 | 17% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| Exact Margin: Rams by 21+ | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 10% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-12 | 9% |
| Safety? | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 7% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 13-18 | 6% |
| O/U 69.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 19-24 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 25+ | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, giants vs. rams stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 21 at 8:15PM ET: If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams". If the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.0M.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Giants vs. Rams. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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