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UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Cerminara to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $150K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Cerminara to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 2?100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Cerminara in Round 1100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Stiller to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Cerminara in Round 20%
Cerminara in Round 30%
Stiller in Round 10%
Stiller in Round 20%
Stiller in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: katlyn cerminara vs. mackenzie stiller (women's flyweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Katlyn Cerminara" if Katlyn Cerminara is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for Octobe…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)".

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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