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UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 79% O/U 1.5 Rounds 64% Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $193K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds79%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?52%
O/U 2.5 Rounds48%
Fight to Go the Distance?40%
Whittaker to win by KO/TKO?30%
Krylov to win by KO/TKO?20%
Fight won by submission?9%

Market context

The UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 79% YES. This market will resolve to "Robert Whittaker" if Robert Whittaker is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nikita Krylov at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 79% for "UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $91K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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