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Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

How the sports market is pricing "Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

4Q Moneyline 100% Spread -1.5 100% O/U 156.5 100% Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5 100% Volume: $977K Liquidity: $496K Closes: 8 Oct 2026
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Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
4Q Moneyline100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 156.5100%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5100%
Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 6.5100%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 39.5100%
O/U 157.5100%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
2H Moneyline91%
2H O/U 78.591%
3Q O/U 39.591%
4Q O/U 39.591%
3Q Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.510%
3Q Spread -0.59%
Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.51%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.51%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 3.51%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.51%
Kiah Stokes: Assists O/U 1.51%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.51%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries0%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.50%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.50%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 7.50%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.50%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.50%
1H O/U 78.50%
1Q O/U 39.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.50%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 6.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 9:30PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 4Q Moneyline at 100% for "Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries".

4Q Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $977K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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