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Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston

How the sports market is pricing "Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner 100% Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.5 100% Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $227K Liquidity: $166K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 22.599%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.599%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston80%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Completed Match50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner0%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to braunschweig: jan choinski vs hugo gaston. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Hugo Gaston in the Braunschweig, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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