Highest temperature in Miami on August 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Miami's highest temperature on 13 August 2026 will be measured at Miami International Airport Station using Weather Underground's Daily Observations table, with resolution based on the most granular recorded data rather than summary figures. The settlement window closes at midday UTC on that date, meaning the full day's temperature range will be captured before resolution.

August in Miami typically produces daily highs between 89–92°F, with the National Weather Service recording a 30-year average high of 90°F for mid-August. Historical extremes for the date itself are less commonly cited in public records, but the broader August pattern shows consistent heat with occasional spikes above 93°F during particularly intense high-pressure systems. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting clearer seasonal forecasts or treating this as a calibration exercise given the two-year lead time before the settlement date.

Traders should monitor the Atlantic hurricane season trajectory and upper-level ridge positioning as August 2026 approaches, as tropical moisture and stalled systems can either suppress afternoon highs through cloud cover or amplify them through heat dome conditions. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's seasonal outlook, typically released in early summer 2026, will provide the first substantive signal for temperature patterns. Weather Underground's historical data consistency at Miami International Airport has remained reliable across multiple years, making the resolution mechanism straightforward once the date arrives.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Miami on August 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.