Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 14 August 2026, Shenzhen will record its highest temperature of the day at Bao'an International Airport Station, measured in degrees Celsius. This reading will determine the settlement outcome, with Weather Underground's Daily Observations table serving as the authoritative source rather than any summary figures elsewhere on the platform.

Shenzhen's August temperatures are remarkably consistent year on year. Historical data from the past two decades shows daily highs in mid-August clustering between 32°C and 34°C, with extremes rarely exceeding 35°C or falling below 31°C. The city's subtropical monsoon climate produces little variation across years at this point in summer; the peak heat period runs from late July through mid-August before the onset of autumn patterns. Traders should reference the 2015–2024 August 14 records specifically, as these provide the tightest comparable dataset for this exact calendar date.

The settlement window closes at midday UTC on 14 August 2026, which corresponds to early evening local time in Shenzhen. Traders should monitor Weather Underground's Bao'an station feed directly as the day progresses; any discrepancies between the Daily Observations table and the Day High & Low summary section will be resolved in favour of the former. Atmospheric pressure systems and any unusual weather patterns affecting southern China in early-to-mid August could shift outcomes, though such deviations from the 32–34°C norm remain statistically uncommon for this location and season.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

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What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.