Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Nigma Galaxy and OG will face off in Round 2 of The International 2026 group stage on 13 August at 5:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing through the tournament's preliminary bracket. Both organisations carry substantial Dota 2 pedigree—OG won back-to-back International titles in 2018 and 2019, whilst Nigma Galaxy (formerly Liquid) has fielded championship-calibre rosters for over a decade. The current 100% crowd probability suggests near-certainty the match will occur as scheduled, though this reflects confidence in fixture completion rather than a prediction of either team's victory.

Recent roster movements and coaching appointments will shape expectations heading into the fixture. OG's squad composition and preparation depth under their current coaching staff remain central variables; any late-season roster adjustments or injury concerns would typically surface through official team announcements or reporting from esports correspondents covering the circuit. Nigma Galaxy's form in regional qualifiers and any personnel changes—particularly amongst their core players or support staff—merit close attention, as these often precede tournament performance shifts.

The settlement window closes 13 August at 15:30 UTC, allowing roughly ten hours from the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Traders should monitor official The International schedule updates, team social media channels, and esports news outlets for any postponement notices. A delay exceeding 168 hours from the original 5:00 AM ET start would trigger the 7-day grace period; cancellation or a tied result would resolve the market to 50-50 rather than favouring either competitor.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.