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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 99% Any Player Ultra Kill 99% Volume: $406K Liquidity: $905K Closes: 22 Sept 2026
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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan99%
Any Player Ultra Kill99%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks99%
Match Winner63%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime2%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks2%
Any Player Rampage2%
Ends in Daytime2%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: yellow submarine vs team lynx (bo3) - european pro league playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals match between Yellow Submarine and Team Lynx in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 21,…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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