Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 97% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 91% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| Spread -0.5 | 76% |
| Fresno State O/U 20.5 | 76% |
| O/U 45.5 | 74% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Fresno State vs. San Diego State | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| O/U 51.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| O/U 53.5 | 32% |
| O/U 55.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| O/U 71.5 | 30% |
| O/U 61.5 | 29% |
| O/U 73.5 | 29% |
| O/U 75.5 | 29% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 57.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -8.5 | 5% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of fresno state vs. san diego state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $210K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Fresno State vs. San Diego State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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