Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Utah vs. Colorado | 94% |
| Spread -0.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -1.5 | 89% |
| Utah O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| Utah O/U 23.5 | 89% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 86% |
| O/U 35.5 | 86% |
| Spread -6.5 | 85% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 82% |
| O/U 37.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| Spread -10.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 77% |
| Spread -11.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 75% |
| Spread -9.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 72% |
| Utah O/U 26.5 | 71% |
| Spread -8.5 | 70% |
| Spread -15.5 | 69% |
| Spread -14.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| Spread -13.5 | 67% |
| O/U 45.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Spread -12.5 | 66% |
| Spread -16.5 | 64% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Utah O/U 32.5 | 63% |
| O/U 43.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 58% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -20.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| Spread -17.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Utah O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 49% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Spread -23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| O/U 49.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| O/U 51.5 | 44% |
| Spread -22.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 40% |
| Spread -24.5 | 40% |
| Spread -26.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -29.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| Spread -32.5 | 25% |
| O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| O/U 73.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 23% |
| Colorado O/U 23.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Spread -33.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 7% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of utah vs. colorado. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Colorado, scheduled for October 17 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah" if Utah win the game. This market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Utah vs. Colorado. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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