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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $747K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Resilience and OG in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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